why india is behind china?
MODERN India is, in many ways, a success. Its claim to be the world’s largest democracy is not hollow. Its media is vibrant and free; Indians buy more newspapers every day than any other nation. Since independence in 1947, life expectancy at birth has more than doubled, to 66 years from 32, and per-capita income (adjusted for inflation) has grown fivefold. In recent decades, reforms pushed up the country’s once sluggish growth rate to around 8 percent per year, before it fell back a couple of percentage points over the last two years. For years, India’s economic growth rate ranked second among the world’s large economies, after China, which it has consistently trailed by at least one percentage point.
The hope that India might overtake
China one day in economic growth now seems a distant one. But that
comparison is not what should worry Indians most. The far greater gap
between India and China is in the provision of essential public services
— a failing that depresses living standards and is a persistent drag on
growth.
Inequality is high in both countries,
but China has done far more than India to raise life expectancy, expand
general education and secure health care for its people. India has elite
schools of varying degrees of excellence for the privileged, but among
all Indians 7 or older, nearly one in every five males and one in every
three females are illiterate. And most schools are of low quality; less
than half the children can divide 20 by 5, even after four years of
schooling.
India may be the world’s largest
producer of generic medicine, but its health care system is an
unregulated mess. The poor have to rely on low-quality — and sometimes
exploitative — private medical care, because there isn’t enough decent
public care. While China devotes 2.7 percent of its gross domestic
product to government spending on health care, India allots 1.2 percent.
India’s underperformance can be traced
to a failure to learn from the examples of so-called Asian economic
development, in which rapid expansion of human capability is both a goal
in itself and an integral element in achieving rapid growth. Japan
pioneered that approach, starting after the Meiji Restoration in 1868,
when it resolved to achieve a fully literate society within a few
decades. As Kido Takayoshi, a leader of that reform, explained: “Our
people are no different from the Americans or Europeans of today; it is
all a matter of education or lack of education.” Through investments in
education and health care, Japan simultaneously enhanced living
standards and labor productivity — the government collaborating with the
market.
Despite the catastrophe of Japan’s war
years, the lessons of its development experience remained and were
followed, in the postwar period, by South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and
other economies in East Asia. China, which during the Mao era made
advances in land reform and basic education and health care, embarked on
market reforms in the early 1980s; its huge success changed the shape
of the world economy. India has paid inadequate attention to these
lessons.
Is there a conundrum here that
democratic India has done worse than China in educating its citizens and
improving their health? Perhaps, but the puzzle need not be a
brainteaser. Democratic participation, free expression and rule of law
are largely realities in India, and still largely aspirations in China.
India has not had a famine since independence, while China had the
largest famine in recorded history, from 1958 to 1961, when Mao’s
disastrous Great Leap Forward killed some 30 million people.
Nevertheless, using democratic means to remedy endemic problems —
chronic undernourishment, a disorganized medical system or dysfunctional
school systems — demands sustained deliberation, political engagement,
media coverage, popular pressure. In short, more democratic process, not
less.
In China, decision making takes place
at the top. The country’s leaders are skeptical, if not hostile, with
regard to the value of multiparty democracy, but they have been strongly
committed to eliminating hunger, illiteracy and medical neglect, and
that is enormously to their credit.
There are inevitable fragilities in a
nondemocratic system because mistakes are hard to correct. Dissent is
dangerous. There is little recourse for victims of injustice. Edicts
like the one-child policy can be very harsh. Still, China’s present
leaders have used the basic approach of accelerating development by
expanding human capability with great decisiveness and skill.
The case for combating debilitating
inequality in India is not only a matter of social justice. Unlike
India, China did not miss the huge lesson of Asian economic development,
about the economic returns that come from bettering human lives,
especially at the bottom of the socioeconomic pyramid. India’s growth
and its earnings from exports have tended to depend narrowly on a few
sectors, like information technology, pharmaceuticals and specialized
auto parts, many of which rely on the role of highly trained personnel
from the well-educated classes. For India to match China in its range of
manufacturing capacity — its ability to produce gadgets of almost every
kind, with increasing use of technology and better quality control — it
needs a better-educated and healthier labor force at all levels of
society. What it needs most is more knowledge and public discussion
about the nature and the huge extent of inequality and its damaging
consequences, including for economic growth
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